Australian Economic Analysis

Cash-rate expectations.

This website is built by Zac Gross and provides a daily snapshot of futures-implied expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia's cash rate, based on ASX 30-day interbank futures data and historical data. These expectations update automatically based off code by Matt Cowgill.

Announced cash-rate target: 4.60% · Effective 30 Sep 2026 · Next decision: 03 Nov 2026

Next RBA meeting

Cash-rate futures paths

Meeting probabilities

03 November 2026

08 December 2026

03 February 2027

09 February 2027

17 March 2027

23 March 2027

04 May 2027

22 June 2027

10 August 2027

21 September 2027

02 November 2027

14 December 2027

Previous Meetings

28 September 2026

10 August 2026

15 June 2026

04 May 2026

16 March 2026

Past Meeting Line Charts

17 March 2026

05 May 2026

16 June 2026

11 August 2026

29 September 2026