Cash Rate Target Probabilities By RBA Meeting
09 December 2025
03 February 2026
17 March 2026
05 May 2026
16 June 2026
29 September 2026
03 November 2026
08 December 2026
This website is built by Zac Gross and provides a daily snapshot of futures-implied expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia's cash rate, based on ASX 30-day interbank futures data and historical data. These expectations update automatically based off code by Matt Cowgill.
This chart shows the market-implied probability of different cash rate outcomes at the next RBA meeting, tracking how expectations have evolved over time based on ASX 30-day interbank futures pricing. Hover over the chart to explore daily probabilities. View static version →