Cash Rate Target Probabilities By RBA Meeting
03 February 2026
17 March 2026
05 May 2026
16 June 2026
11 August 2026
29 September 2026
03 November 2026
08 December 2026
03 February 2027
17 March 2027
This website is built by Zac Gross and provides a daily snapshot of futures-implied expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia's cash rate, based on ASX 30-day interbank futures data and historical data. These expectations update automatically based off code by Matt Cowgill.
This chart shows the market-implied probability of different cash rate outcomes at the next RBA meeting, hover over the chart to explore daily probabilities. View static version →
Interactive forecast paths around RBA meetings, CPI releases, and labour force publications. Hover to inspect each scrape and use the scroll wheel or pinch gesture to zoom the timeline. Open full-screen → View static version →