Forecasts for the Next RBA Meeting Derived from ASX Futures

This chart shows the market-implied probability of different cash rate outcomes at the next RBA meeting, tracking how expectations have evolved over time based on ASX 30-day interbank futures pricing. Hover over the chart to explore daily probabilities. View static version →

Cash Rate Target Probabilities By RBA Meeting

Previous Meetings

03 November 2025

29 September 2025

11 August 2025

07 July 2025

19 May 2025

31 March 2025

17 February 2025

09 December 2024

04 November 2024

23 September 2024

05 August 2024

17 June 2024

06 May 2024

18 March 2024

05 February 2024

04 December 2023

06 November 2023

02 October 2023

04 September 2023

31 July 2023

03 July 2023

05 June 2023

01 May 2023

03 April 2023

06 March 2023

06 February 2023

05 December 2022

31 October 2022

03 October 2022

05 September 2022

01 August 2022

04 July 2022

06 June 2022

02 May 2022

This website is built by Zac Gross and provides a daily snapshot of futures-implied expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia's cash rate, based on ASX 30-day interbank futures data and historical data. These expectations update automatically based off code by Matt Cowgill.